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  • Journal article
    Zhang T, Marinescu M, O'Neill L, Wild M, Offer Get al., 2015,

    Modeling the voltage loss mechanisms in lithium-sulfur cells: the importance of electrolyte resistance and precipitation kinetics.

    , Physical Chemistry Chemical Physics, Vol: 17, Pages: 22581-22586, ISSN: 1463-9084

    Understanding of the complex electrochemical, transport, and phase-change phenomena in Li-S cells requires experimental characterization in tandem with mechanistic modeling. However, existing Li-S models currently contradict some key features of experimental findings, particularly the evolution of cell resistance during discharge. We demonstrate that, by introducing a concentration-dependent electrolyte conductivity, the correct trends in voltage drop due to electrolyte resistance and activation overpotentials are retrieved. In addition, we reveal the existence of an often overlooked potential drop mechanism in the low voltage-plateau which originates from the limited rate of Li2S precipitation.
  • Journal article
    Murphy K, Rehkämper M, Kreissig K, Coles B, van de Flierdt Tet al., 2015,

    Improvements in Cd stable isotope analysis achieved through use of liquid–liquid extraction to remove organic residues from Cd separates obtained by extraction chromatography

    , Journal of Analytical Atomic Spectrometry, Vol: 31, Pages: 319-327, ISSN: 1364-5544

    Organic compounds released from resins that are commonly employed for trace element separations are known to have a detrimental impact on the quality of isotopic analyses by MC-ICP-MS. A recent study highlighted that such effects can be particularly problematic for Cd stable isotope measurements (M. Gault-Ringold and C. H. Stirling, J. Anal. At. Spectrom., 2012, 27, 449–459). In this case, the final stage of sample purification commonly applies extraction chromatography with Eichrom TRU resin, which employs particles coated with octylphenyl-N,N-di-isobutyl carbamoylphosphine oxide (CMPO) dissolved in tri-n-butyl phosphate (TBP). During chromatography, it appears that some of these compounds are eluted alongside Cd and cannot be removed by evaporation due to their high boiling points. When aliquots of the zero-ε reference material were processed through the purification procedure, refluxed in concentrated HNO3 and analyzed at minimum dilution (in 1 ml 0.1 M HNO3), they yielded Cd isotopic compositions (ε114/110Cd = 4.6 ± 3.4, 2SD, n = 4) that differed significantly from the expected value, despite the use of a double spike technique to correct for instrumental mass fractionation. This result was accompanied by a 35% reduction in instrumental sensitivity for Cd. With increasing dilution of the organic resin residue, both of these effects are reduced and they are insignificant when the eluted Cd is dissolved in ≥3 ml 0.1 M HNO3. Our results, furthermore, indicate that the isotopic artefacts are most likely related to anomalous mass bias behavior. Previous studies have shown that perchloric acid can be effective at avoiding such effects (Gault-Ringold and Stirling, 2012; K. C. Crocket, M. Lambelet, T. van de Flierdt, M. Rehkämper and L. F. Robinson, Chem. Geol., 2014, 374–375, 128–140), presumably by oxidizing the resin-derived organics, but there are numerous disadvantages to its use. Here we show that liquid–liqui
  • Journal article
    Le Vine N, Butler A, McIntyre N, Jackson Cet al., 2015,

    Diagnosing hydrological limitations of a Land Surface Model: Application of JULES to a deep-groundwater chalk basin

    , Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, Vol: 12, Pages: 7541-7582, ISSN: 1812-2116

    Land Surface Models (LSMs) are prospective starting points to develop a global hyper-resolution model of the terrestrial water, energy and biogeochemical cycles. However, there are some fundamental limitations of LSMs related to how meaningfully hydrological fluxes and stores are represented. A diagnostic approach to model evaluation is taken here that exploits hydrological expert knowledge to detect LSM inadequacies through consideration of the major behavioural functions of a hydrological system: overall water balance, vertical water redistribution in the unsaturated zone, temporal water redistribution and spatial water redistribution over the catchment's groundwater and surface water systems. Three types of information are utilised to improve the model's hydrology: (a) observations, (b) information about expected response from regionalised data, and (c) information from an independent physics-based model. The study considers the JULES (Joint UK Land Environmental Simulator) LSM applied to a deep-groundwater chalk catchment in the UK. The diagnosed hydrological limitations and the proposed ways to address them are indicative of the challenges faced while transitioning to a global high resolution model of the water cycle.
  • Journal article
    Shevchenko IV, Berloff PS, 2015,

    Multi-layer quasi-geostrophic ocean dynamics in Eddy-resolving regimes

    , Ocean Modelling, Vol: 94, Pages: 1-14, ISSN: 1463-5011

    The multi-layer quasi-geostrophic model of the wind-driven ocean gyres is numerically investigated using a combination of long-time runs (200 years) needed for accurate statistics, spatial resolutions (grid interval of less than one kilometer) needed for accurate representation of mesoscale eddies, and large Reynolds number (Re > 104) needed for more realistic flow regimes. We gradually increased the Reynolds number by lowering the eddy viscosity and analysed the corresponding changes of the large-scale circulation, energetics and eddy fluxes, with the goal to understand how the nonlinear eddy dynamics affects the large-scale ocean circulation, as more and more degrees of freedom become dynamically available. Three- and six-layer configurations of the model are considered in order to understand effects of higher baroclinic modes. A parameter sensitivity study is also carried out to show that the explored flow regime is robust.As Re increases, most properties of the flow show no signs of approaching an asymptote, and the following tendencies are found. The time-mean flow properties tend to an asymptote in the three-layer model but not in the six-layer one, suggesting that higher baroclinic modes are dynamically more active at larger Re. The eddy kinetic and potential energies grow faster in the six-layer case. The intensity of the eddy forcing (eddy flux divergence) increases with Re. The inter-gyre eddy potential vorticity flux is predominantly northward and up-gradient for all Re studied. A comparison of the three- and six-layer model solutions revealed an inhibitory influence of high baroclinic modes on the penetration length of the eastward jet extension of the western boundary currents and on the strength of the adjacent recirculation zones. In large-Re regimes, the population of eddies is mostly sustained by the eddy generation at the eastern end of the eastward jet rather than in its central section. Finally, by studying the numerical convergence of the sol
  • Journal article
    Graven HD, 2015,

    Impact of fossil fuel emissions on atmospheric radiocarbon and various applications of radiocarbon over this century

    , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol: 112, Pages: 9542-9545, ISSN: 1091-6490

    Radiocarbon analyses are commonly used in a broad range of fields, including earth science, archaeology, forgery detection, isotope forensics, and physiology. Many applications are sensitive to the radiocarbon ((14)C) content of atmospheric CO2, which has varied since 1890 as a result of nuclear weapons testing, fossil fuel emissions, and CO2 cycling between atmospheric, oceanic, and terrestrial carbon reservoirs. Over this century, the ratio (14)C/C in atmospheric CO2 (Δ(14)CO2) will be determined by the amount of fossil fuel combustion, which decreases Δ(14)CO2 because fossil fuels have lost all (14)C from radioactive decay. Simulations of Δ(14)CO2 using the emission scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report, the Representative Concentration Pathways, indicate that ambitious emission reductions could sustain Δ(14)CO2 near the preindustrial level of 0‰ through 2100, whereas "business-as-usual" emissions will reduce Δ(14)CO2 to -250‰, equivalent to the depletion expected from over 2,000 y of radioactive decay. Given current emissions trends, fossil fuel emission-driven artificial "aging" of the atmosphere is likely to occur much faster and with a larger magnitude than previously expected. This finding has strong and as yet unrecognized implications for many applications of radiocarbon in various fields, and it implies that radiocarbon dating may no longer provide definitive ages for samples up to 2,000 y old.
  • Journal article
    Nuno A, Milner-Gulland EJ, Bunnefeld N, 2015,

    Detecting abundance trends under uncertainty: the influence of budget, observation error and environmental change

    , ANIMAL CONSERVATION, Vol: 18, Pages: 331-340, ISSN: 1367-9430
  • Journal article
    Xie C, Hawkes AD, 2015,

    Estimation of inter-fuel substitution possibilities in China's transport industry using ridge regression

    , ENERGY, Vol: 88, Pages: 260-267, ISSN: 0360-5442
  • Journal article
    Ristic B, Madani K, Makuch Z, 2015,

    The Water Footprint of Data Centers

    , SUSTAINABILITY, Vol: 7, Pages: 11260-11284
  • Journal article
    Moro M, Fischer A, Milner-Gulland EJ, Lowassa A, Naiman LC, Hanley Net al., 2015,

    A stated preference investigation of household demand for illegally hunted bushmeat in the Serengeti, Tanzania

    , ANIMAL CONSERVATION, Vol: 18, Pages: 377-386, ISSN: 1367-9430
  • Journal article
    Plebani M, Fussmann KE, Hansen DM, O'Gorman EJ, Stewart RIA, Woodward G, Petchey OLet al., 2015,

    Substratum-dependent responses of ciliate assemblages to temperature: a natural experiment in Icelandic streams

    , FRESHWATER BIOLOGY, Vol: 60, Pages: 1561-1570, ISSN: 0046-5070
  • Journal article
    Ryder CL, McQuaid JB, Flamant C, Rosenberg PD, Washington R, Brindley HE, Highwood EJ, Marsham JH, Parker DJ, Todd MC, Banks JR, Brooke JK, Engelstaedter S, Estelles V, Formenti P, Garcia-Carreras L, Kocha C, Marenco F, Sodemann H, Allen CJT, Bourdon A, Bart M, Cavazos-Guerra C, Chevaillier S, Crosier J, Darbyshire E, Dean AR, Dorsey JR, Kent J, O'Sullivan D, Schepanski K, Szpek K, Trembath J, Woolley Aet al., 2015,

    Advances in understanding mineral dust and boundary layer processes over the Sahara from Fennec aircraft observations

    , Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol: 15, Pages: 8479-8520, ISSN: 1680-7324

    The Fennec climate programme aims to improve understanding of the Saharan climate system through a synergy of observations and modelling. We present a description of the Fennec airborne observations during 2011 and 2012 over the remote Sahara (Mauritania and Mali) and the advances in the understanding of mineral dust and boundary layer processes they have provided. Aircraft instrumentation aboard the UK FAAM BAe146 and French SAFIRE (Service des Avions Français Instrumentés pour la Recherche en Environnement) Falcon 20 is described, with specific focus on instrumentation specially developed for and relevant to Saharan meteorology and dust. Flight locations, aims and associated meteorology are described. Examples and applications of aircraft measurements from the Fennec flights are presented, highlighting new scientific results delivered using a synergy of different instruments and aircraft. These include (1) the first airborne measurement of dust particles sizes of up to 300 microns and associated dust fluxes in the Saharan atmospheric boundary layer (SABL), (2) dust uplift from the breakdown of the nocturnal low-level jet before becoming visible in SEVIRI (Spinning Enhanced Visible Infra-Red Imager) satellite imagery, (3) vertical profiles of the unique vertical structure of turbulent fluxes in the SABL, (4) in situ observations of processes in SABL clouds showing dust acting as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice nuclei (IN) at −15 °C, (5) dual-aircraft observations of the SABL dynamics, thermodynamics and composition in the Saharan heat low region (SHL), (6) airborne observations of a dust storm associated with a cold pool (haboob) issued from deep convection over the Atlas Mountains, (7) the first airborne chemical composition measurements of dust in the SHL region with differing composition, sources (determined using Lagrangian backward trajectory calculations) and absorption properties between 2011 and 2012, (8) coincident ozone and
  • Conference paper
    Lomberg M, Boldrin P, Tariq F, Offer G, Wu B, Brandon NPet al., 2015,

    Additive manufacturing for solid oxide cell electrode fabrication

    , ECS Conference on Electrochemical Energy Conversion & Storage with SOFC-XIV, Publisher: Electrochemical Society, Pages: 2119-2127, ISSN: 1938-6737

    Additive manufacturing can potentially offer a highly-defined electrode microstructure, as well as fast and reproducible electrode fabrication. Selective laser sintering is an additive manufacturing technique in which three-dimensional structures are created by bonding subsequent layers of powder using a laser. Although selective laser sintering can be applied to a wide range of materials, including metals and ceramics, the scientific and technical aspects of the manufacturing parameters and their impact on microstructural evolution during the process are not well understood. In the present study, a novel approach for electrode fabrication using selective laser sintering was evaluated by conducting a proof of concept study. A Ni-patterned fuel electrode was laser sintered on an yttria-stabilized zirconia substrate. The optimization process of laser parameters (laser sintering rate and laser power) and the electrochemical results of a full cell with a laser sintered electrode are presented. The challenges and prospects of using selective laser sintering for solid oxide cell fabrication are discussed.
  • Journal article
    Foster T, Brozović N, Butler AP, 2015,

    Why well yield matters for managing agricultural drought risk

    , Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol: 10, Pages: 11-19, ISSN: 2212-0947

    Groundwater-fed irrigation has supported growth in agricultural production around the world by allowing farmers to buffer production against the risks associated with variable and uncertain climatic conditions. However, uncontrolled exploitation has also led to rapid rates of groundwater depletion in many semi-arid and arid regions that threaten farmers' long-term capacity to adapt to future climate change and extreme events. Declining well yields, which control the potential rate and feasibility of groundwater abstraction, are likely to restrict adaptation to drought, but this interaction has largely been neglected in previous research. In this study, we present a set of numerical hydro-economic simulations that assess the joint biophysical and economic effects of climate variability and well yield on irrigated agriculture through a case study in the Texas High Plains region of the United States. Our results demonstrate that reductions in well yield will constrain farmers' ability to use irrigation as an adaptive tool, and may have large negative economic impacts on production. Significantly, economic impacts will be greatest during drought events that are projected to increase in frequency and intensity as a result of climate change. We suggest therefore that management of well yields should be a key consideration when evaluating agricultural drought risk adaptation.
  • Journal article
    Yao J, Kirchartz T, Vezie MS, Faist MA, Gong W, He Z, Wu H, Troughton J, Watson T, Bryant D, Nelson Jet al., 2015,

    Quantifying losses in open-circuit voltage in solution-processable solar cells

    , Physical Review Applied, Vol: 4, ISSN: 2331-7019

    The maximum open-circuit voltage of a solar cell can be evaluated in terms of its ability to emit light. We herein verify the reciprocity relation between the electroluminescence spectrum and subband-gap quantum efficiency spectrum for several photovoltaic technologies at different stages of commercial development, including inorganic, organic, and a type of methyl-ammonium lead- halide CH3NH3PbI3−xClx perovskite solar cells. Based on the detailed balance theory and reciprocity relations between light emission and light absorption, voltage losses at open circuit are quantified and assigned to specific mechanisms, namely, absorption edge broadening and nonradiative recombination. The voltage loss due to nonradiative recombination is low for inorganic solar cells (0.04–0.21 V), while for organic solar cell devices it is larger but surprisingly uniform, with values of 0.34–0.44 V for a range of material combinations. We show that, in CH3NH3PbI3−xClx perovskite solar cells that exhibit hysteresis, the loss to nonradiative recombination varies substantially with voltage scan conditions. We then show that for different solar cell technologies there is a roughly linear relation between the power conversion efficiency and the voltage loss due to nonradiative recombination.
  • Journal article
    Mukherjee S, Kumar P, Yang A, Fennell Pet al., 2015,

    Energy and exergy analysis of chemical looping combustion technology and comparison with pre-combustion and oxy-fuel combustion technologies for CO2 capture

    , Journal of Environmental Chemical Engineering, Vol: 3, Pages: 2104-2114, ISSN: 2213-3437

    Carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted from conventional coal-based power plants is a growing concern for the environment. Chemical looping combustion (CLC), pre-combustion and oxy-fuel combustion are promising CO2 capture technologies which allow clean electricity generation from coal in an integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) power plant. This work compares the characteristics of the above three capture technologies to those of a conventional IGCC plant without CO2 capture. CLC technology is also investigated for two different process configurations—(i) an integrated gasification combined cycle coupled with chemical looping combustion (IGCC–CLC), and (ii) coal direct chemical looping combustion (CDCLC)—using exergy analysis to exploit the complete potential of CLC. Power output, net electrical efficiency and CO2 capture efficiency are the key parameters investigated for the assessment. Flowsheet models of five different types of IGCC power plants, (four with and one without CO2 capture), were developed in the Aspen plus simulation package. The results indicate that with respect to conventional IGCC power plant, IGCC–CLC exhibited an energy penalty of 4.5%, compared with 7.1% and 9.1% for pre-combustion and oxy-fuel combustion technologies, respectively. IGCC–CLC and oxy-fuel combustion technologies achieved an overall CO2 capture rate of ∼100% whereas pre-combustion technology could capture ∼94.8%. Modification of IGCC–CLC into CDCLC tends to increase the net electrical efficiency by 4.7% while maintaining 100% CO2 capture rate. A detailed exergy analysis performed on the two CLC process configurations (IGCC–CLC and CDCLC) and conventional IGCC process demonstrates that CLC technology can be thermodynamically as efficient as a conventional IGCC process.
  • Book chapter
    Woodward G, 2015,

    Biodiversity, Ecosystem Functioning, and Services in Fresh Waters: Ecological and Evolutionary Implications of Climate Change

    , Aquatic Functional Biodiversity An Ecological and Evolutionary Perspective, Publisher: Academic Press, ISBN: 9780124170209

    An Ecological and Evolutionary Perspective Andrea Belgrano, Guy Woodward, Ute Jacob ... Remarks References Biodiversity, Ecosystem Functioning, and Services in Fresh Waters: Ecological and Evolutionary Implications of Climate Change ...
  • Journal article
    Ochoa Rodriguez S, Wang L-P, Thraves L, Johnston A, Onof Cet al., 2015,

    Surface water flood warnings in England: overview, Assessment and recommendations based on survey responses and workshops

    , Journal of Flood Risk Management, Vol: 11, Pages: S211-S221, ISSN: 1753-318X

    Following extensive surface water flooding (SWF) in England in summer 2007, progress has been made in improving the management and prediction of this type of flooding. A rainfall threshold-based extreme rainfall alert (ERA) service was launched in 2009 and superseded in 2011 by the surface water flood risk assessment (SWFRA). Through survey responses from local authorities (LAs) and the outcome of workshops with a range of flood professionals, this paper examines the understanding, benefits, limitations and ways to improve the current SWF warning service. The current SWFRA alerts are perceived as useful by district and county LAs, although their understanding of them is limited. The majority of LAs take action upon receipt of SWFRA alerts, and their reactiveness to alerts appears to have increased over the years and as SWFRA superseded ERA. This is a positive development towards increased resilience to SWF. The main drawback of the current service is its broad spatial resolution. Alternatives for providing localised SWF forecast and warnings were analysed, and a two-tier national-local approach, with pre-simulated scenario-based local SWF forecasting and warning systems, was deemed most appropriate by flood professionals given current monetary, human and technological resources.
  • Journal article
    Teske PR, Sandoval-Castillo J, van Sebille E, Waters J, Beheregaray LBet al., 2015,

    On-shelf larval retention limits population connectivity in a coastal broadcast spawner

    , MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES, Vol: 532, Pages: 1-12, ISSN: 0171-8630
  • Journal article
    Staffell IL, Bossmann T, 2015,

    The Shape of Future Electricity Demand: Exploring Load Curves in 2050s Germany and Britain

    , Energy, Vol: 90, Pages: 1317-1333, ISSN: 0360-5442

    National demand for electricity follows a regular and predictable daily pattern. This pattern is setto change due to efficiency improvements, de-industrialisation and electrification of heat andtransport. These changes are independent of renewable infeed and are not well understood:contemporary studies assume that electricity load curves will retain their current shape, scalingequally in all hours. Changes to this shape will profoundly affect the electricity industry: increasingthe requirements for flexible and peaking capacity, and reducing asset utilisation and profitability.This paper explores the evolution of load curves to 2050 in Germany and Britain: two countriesundergoing radically different energy transformations. It reviews recent developments in Europe’selectricity demand, and introduces two models for synthesising future hourly load curves: eLOADand DESSTinEE. Both models are applied to a decarbonisation scenario for 2050, and consistentlyshow peak loads increasing by about 23% points above the change in annual demand, to 103 GWin Germany and 92 GW in Britain. Sensitivities around electrification show that a million extra heatpumps or electric vehicles add up to 1.5 GW to peak demand.The structure and shape of the future load curves are analysed, and impacts on the nationalelectricity systems are drawn.
  • Conference paper
    Thomas, 2014,

    GaNAsSb 1-eV solar cells for use in lattice-matched multi-junction architectures

    , 40th IEEE PVSC
  • Journal article
    Cotter CJ, Kirby RC, 2015,

    Mixed finite elements for global tide models

    , Numerische Mathematik, Vol: 133, Pages: 255-277, ISSN: 0945-3245

    We study mixed finite element methods for the linearized rotating shallow water equations with linear drag and forcing terms. By means of a strong energy estimate for an equivalent second-order formulation for the linearized momentum, we prove long-time stability of the system without energy accumulation—the geotryptic state. A priori error estimates for the linearized momentum and free surface elevation are given in L2L2 as well as for the time derivative and divergence of the linearized momentum. Numerical results confirm the theoretical results regarding both energy damping and convergence rates.
  • Journal article
    Lai P, Moulton K, Krevor S, 2015,

    Pore-scale heterogeneity in the mineral distribution and reactive surface area of porous rocks

    , Chemical Geology, Vol: 411, Pages: 260-273, ISSN: 0009-2541

    The reactive surface area is an important control on interfacial processes between minerals and aqueous fluids in porous rocks. Spatial heterogeneity in the surface area can lead to complications in modelling reactive transport processes, but quantitative characterisation of this property has been limited. In this paper 3D images obtained using x-ray micro-tomography were used to characterise heterogeneity in surface area in one sandstone and five carbonate rocks. Measurements of average surface area from x-ray imagery were 1-2 orders of magnitude lower than measurements from nitrogen BET. A roughness factor, defined as the ratio of BET surface area to x-ray based surface area, was correlated to the presence of clay or microporosity. Co-registered images of Berea sandstone from x-ray and energy dispersive spectroscopy imagery were used to guide the identification of quartz, K-feldspar, dolomite, calcite and clays in x-ray images. In Berea sandstone, clay and K-feldspar had higheraverage surface area fractions than their volumetric fractions in the rock. In the Edwards carbonate, however, modal mineral composition correlated with surface area. By sub-sampling digital images, statistical distributions of the surface area were generated at various length scales of subsampling. Comparing these to distributions used in published modelling studies showed that the common practice of leaving surface area and pore volume uncorrelated in a pore has lead to unrealistic combinations of surface area and pore volume in the models. We suggest these models adopt a moderate correlation based on observations. In Berea sandstone, constraining ratios of surface area to pore volume to a range of values between that of quartz-lined and five times that of clay-lined spheres appeared sufficient.
  • Journal article
    Zhang J, Fennell PS, Trusler JPM, 2015,

    Density and Viscosity of Partially Carbonated Aqueous Tertiary Alkanolamine Solutions at Temperatures between (298.15 and 353.15) K

    , Journal of Chemical and Engineering Data, Vol: 60, Pages: 2392-2399, ISSN: 1520-5134

    The density and viscosity of partially carbonatedaqueous solutions of either 2-dimethylaminoethanol or 2-diethylaminoethanolwere measured over a temperature range of (298.15 to353.15) K with alkanolamine mass fractions of 0.15 to 0.45.Correlations were developed to represent the density and viscosityof these solutions as a function of amine concentration, CO2 loading,and temperature. For the density, the correlation represents theexperimental data to within ± 0.2 %, while the viscosity data werecorrelated to within ± 4 %. The data and models reported in thispaper will help facilitate a better understanding of the performance ofthese amines in CO2 capture processes, especially in relation to masstransfer and hydrodynamic calculations.
  • Journal article
    Mukherjee S, Kumar P, Yang A, Fennell Pet al., 2015,

    A systematic investigation of the performance of copper-, cobalt-, iron-, manganese- and nickel-based oxygen carriers for chemical looping combustion technology through simulation models

    , CHEMICAL ENGINEERING SCIENCE, Vol: 130, Pages: 79-91, ISSN: 0009-2509
  • Journal article
    Mazur CM, Brandon, Offer, Contestabileet al., 2015,

    Understanding the drivers of fleet emission reduction activities of the German car manufacturers

    , Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Vol: 16, Pages: 3-21, ISSN: 2210-4224

    The current mobility system, dominated by fossil fuel poweredautomobiles, is under increasing pressure due to its environmentalimpact. To address this issue there is a need for a transitionof the system towards one that is more sustainable, including theintroduction of car technologies that allow a decrease in fuel consumptionand the substitution of fossil fuels as primary energysource. Due to the stability of the current automotive industryand the dominance of the internal combustion engine technology,it is expected that the incumbent firms and their activities willplay a crucial role in the transition. Policy makers have thereforeintroduced a variety of policies to encourage the industry to providesuitable solutions.We have conducted amicro-level analysis of howthe threemain German carmanufacturers have changed their activitiesin the field of low emission vehicle technologies in response tonational/international events and policy making. Our analysis suggeststhat policy makers only have limited influence on the typeof disruptive solution that is chosen by these individual companiesand that activities related to solutions that were not familiar to theindividual car manufacturer were mainly induced by internal or external champions. Still, while the existence of regulatory policiesallowed such activities to succeed, on its own it only encouraged theindustry to work on incremental solutions based upon the knowledgealready possessed.
  • Journal article
    Padzillah MH, Rajoo S, Yang M, Martinez-Botas RFet al., 2015,

    Influence of pulsating flow frequencies towards the flow angle distributions of an automotive turbocharger mixed-flow turbine

    , ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, Vol: 98, Pages: 449-462, ISSN: 0196-8904
  • Journal article
    Mueller N, Rojas-Rueda D, Cole-Hunter T, de Nazelle A, Dons E, Gerike R, Goetschi T, Panis LI, Kahlmeier S, Nieuwenhuijsen Met al., 2015,

    Health impact assessment of active transportation: A systematic review

    , Preventive Medicine, Vol: 76, Pages: 103-114, ISSN: 0091-7435

    ObjectiveWalking and cycling for transportation (i.e. active transportation, AT), provide substantial health benefits from increased physical activity (PA). However, risks of injury from exposure to motorized traffic and their emissions (i.e. air pollution) exist. The objective was to systematically review studies conducting health impact assessment (HIA) of a mode shift to AT on grounds of associated health benefits and risks.MethodsSystematic database searches of MEDLINE, Web of Science and Transportation Research International Documentation were performed by two independent researchers, augmented by bibliographic review, internet searches and expert consultation to identify peer-reviewed studies from inception to December 2014.ResultsThirty studies were included, originating predominantly from Europe, but also the United States, Australia and New Zealand. They compromised of mostly HIA approaches of comparative risk assessment and cost–benefit analysis. Estimated health benefit–risk or benefit–cost ratios of a mode shift to AT ranged between − 2 and 360 (median = 9). Effects of increased PA contributed the most to estimated health benefits, which strongly outweighed detrimental effects of traffic incidents and air pollution exposure on health.ConclusionDespite different HIA methodologies being applied with distinctive assumptions on key parameters, AT can provide substantial net health benefits, irrespective of geographical context.
  • Book
    Reich S, Cotter CJ, 2015,

    Probabilistic Forecasting and Bayesian Data Assimilation

    , http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/mathematics/computational-science/probabilistic-forecasting-and-bayesian-data-assimilation, Publisher: Cambridge University Press, ISBN: 9781107663916
  • Journal article
    Wolf K, Stafoggia M, Cesaroni G, Andersen ZJ, Beelen R, Galassi C, Hennig F, Migliore E, Penell J, Ricceri F, Sorensen M, Turunen AW, Hampel R, Hoffmann B, Kaelsch H, Laatikainen T, Pershagen G, Raaschou-Nielsen O, Sacerdote C, Vineis P, Badaloni C, Cyrys J, de Hoogh K, Eriksen KT, Jedynska A, Keuken M, Kooter I, Lanki T, Ranzi A, Sugiri D, Tsai M-Y, Wang M, Hoek G, Brunekreef B, Peters A, Forastiere Fet al., 2015,

    Long-term Exposure to Particulate Matter Constituents and the Incidence of Coronary Events in 11 European Cohorts

    , EPIDEMIOLOGY, Vol: 26, Pages: 565-574, ISSN: 1044-3983
  • Journal article
    Simoes NUNO, Ochoa Rodriguez SUSANA, Wang LI-PEN, Pina RUI, Sa Marques A, Onof C, Leitao JOAOet al., 2015,

    Stochastic Urban Pluvial Flood Hazard Maps Based upon a Spatial-Temporal Rainfall Generator

    , Water, Vol: 7, Pages: 3396-3406, ISSN: 2073-4441

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