@article{Holt:2013:10.1111/epp.12086,
author = {Holt, J and van, der Gaag DJ and Leach, AW and MacLeod, A and Baker, RHA and Mumford, JD},
doi = {10.1111/epp.12086},
journal = {Bulletin OEPP},
pages = {97--101},
title = {A quantitative interpretation of the Entry Section of the EPPO Decision Support Scheme for Pest Risk Analysis},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/epp.12086},
volume = {44},
year = {2013}
}

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TY  - JOUR
AB  - The development of methods to combine components of risk and their associated uncertainty in Pest Risk Analysis (PRA) has received attention in a number of recent European projects. Many of the risk components distinguished in the EPPO Decision-support scheme (DSS) for PRA are usually difficult to quantify, but when there is detailed knowledge of the pest and pathway, quantification may be possible to a limited extent for the pest entry section of the scheme. The European Food Safety Authority has recently commissioned a project to investigate approaches to quantitative pathway analysis for pests of commodities entering and moving within the EU (QPA-Food); a sister project concerns non-food commodities. This paper illustrates the potential for a quantitative pathway model based closely on the Entry Section of the EPPO DSS for PRA, where existing quantitative definitions of rating categories have been used as a basis to estimate the proportion and number of infested lots on a pathway. Such quantification may provide additional insights without requiring substantial changes to the information elicited via the DSS.
AU  - Holt,J
AU  - van,der Gaag DJ
AU  - Leach,AW
AU  - MacLeod,A
AU  - Baker,RHA
AU  - Mumford,JD
DO  - 10.1111/epp.12086
EP  - 101
PY  - 2013///
SN  - 0250-8052
SP  - 97
TI  - A quantitative interpretation of the Entry Section of the EPPO Decision Support Scheme for Pest Risk Analysis
T2  - Bulletin OEPP
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/epp.12086
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/56073
VL  - 44
ER  - 

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